Great article showing that High Probability of Occurrence of Safety related  incidences does indeed lead to the possibility of a High Consequence Event!    At Risk behavior leads to near misses, recorded injuries, lost  productivity cases, and eventually fatality.   Safety Culture Plus | The Accident Pyramid   In order to understand the history of incident presentation, you need a  good understanding of what it takes to reduce injuries. The accident  pyramid model used many years ago as we will discuss will provide some  useful information.   In 1969, a study of industrial accidents was undertaken by Frank E.  Bird, Jr., who was then the Director of Engineering Services for the  Insurance Company of North America. He was interested in the accident  ratio of 1 major injury to 29 minor injuries to 300 no-injury accidents  first discussed in the 1931 book, Industrial Accident Prevention by. H.  W. Heinrich. Refer to Figure 1.   Read more here...